Who will win the 2024 local elections?

Ell explores the 2024 local elections.

Who will win the Mayoral elections?

Ell examines the 2024 Mayoral elections.

Who will win the PCC elections?

This article was made possible by my amazing patrons! Special thanks in particular go to the following comrades: Mick McAteer, Jo Bird, James, Duncan Black, Joseph Bailey, Alex Wilson, Bert Rothkugel, Nicholas Martin, Chris Gravell, Ben, Uditha Desilva, Thomas Alexander, Stephen Kaar, Ruth Holliday, Jane Turner, Konrad, Patrick Lefevre, Scott Folan, Neil Barton, Mohammed Mumit

Explaining my projection model

Ell explains their seat projection model.

Who’s the most electable Mayor?

Ell searches for the most electable Mayor in England.

People Polling, 24 Jan 2023 – mapped

Here is a map showing projected outcomes by seat, based on the People Polling survey of 24/01/2023. And here is a sortable table showing results by seat.

UK polling round-up, 2022

This article was made possible by my amazing patrons! Special thanks in particular go to the following comrades: Alex Wilson, Bert Rothkugel, Chloe Hopkins, Chris Gravell, Daniel Rayner, Konrad, Michael Murray, Mick McAteer, Neil Barton, Patrick Lefevre, Pawel Kaczmarski, Ruth Holliday, Stephen Kaar, Thomas Alexander, Uditha Desilva To support Stats for Lefties and make articles

New boundaries, new projection model

Ell explains changes to the LeftieStats seat estimate model, prompted by the new constituency boundaries.

That YouGov poll…

Who won Momentum’s NCG elections?

This article was made possible by my amazing patrons! Special thanks in particular go to the following comrades: Alan Spence, Alex Wilson, Bert Rothkugel, Chloe Hopkins, Chris Gravell, Daniel Rayner, Konrad, Michael Murray, Mick McAteer, Patrick Lefevre, Pawel Kaczmarski, Ruth Holliday, sn, Stephen Kaar, Thomas Alexander and Uditha Desilva To support Stats for Lefties and